Market Barometer


Click here to see 2 of the strategies I am currently trading with my money.

3/28/2024

Where is the Market currently?

One Week Ago One Month Ago

Current Year

Scroll down to see previous years.

The Market Barometer

Several different S&P500 Index price-based models are used as input along with bonds and other markets related to the stock market. These are combined to give a rating.

The Market Barometer is predicting more long-term behavior in the market.

Statistics on each rating

Statistics are based on data from 1/1/2004 to 12/31/2021.

21-Day return

The black line is the average 21-day return of the SPY which is  0.93%. Each bar is the average 21-day return of the rating.

 

63-Day return

The black line is the average 63-day return of the SPY which is  2.77%. Each bar is the average 63-day return of the rating.

 

Percent Time

The percentage of time spent in each rating.

Yearly Charts

The color band indicates the state of the Market Barometer. The white line is the SPY, adjusted for dividends.

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

 

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

2004